![]() What's your favorite prop bet for Monday's contests?įulghum: Tyreek Hill OVER 105.5 receiving yards. Turnovers can be fluky, but the accuracy measures are, to me, a sign worth paying attention to. Over the last five weeks Love's QBR has jumped to a 75, fueled by two key factors: a dramatic reduction in turnover rate and accuracy improvements demonstrated by better adjusted completion percentages and completion percentage over expectation. Both of those favor the Packers, by the way. ![]() Add in that offense is more predictive than defense and the difference between these two offenses is far bigger than the difference between their defenses. ![]() Schatz: I'm not too concerned with the Giants' bye because they are the worst team in the league this year by DVOA. ![]() Again, I believe what Love is showing us is real, but I'm hesitant to lay that large number on the road against an opponent coming off a bye. The Giants are coming off a bye at home and the Packers may be without their most talented WR Christian Watson (hamstring). I do believe that Love is showing tangible and real improvement, but this isn't the best spot. Are you buying into Jordan Love's recent improvement, and how are you betting this game?įulghum: This game smells like a stay away for me. And, to top it all off, they have a solid shot at the No. Plus, the defense could be starting to jell (the results are there but the competition has been weak, so it's tough to tell). Despite what your uncle will tell you at Christmas: Offense wins championships, and Miami has been the second-best offense in the NFL this season, only behind the 49ers. Miami's explosive offense and improved defense are the closest thing we have in this league to the super team in San Francisco. I believe Miami has a higher probability of beating the 49ers (the best team in the NFL, in my opinion) than any other team in the league. Which, if any of these, is the most appealing to you?įulghum: The +700 price to win the Super Bowl is the most appealing to me. The Dolphins enter the week -5000 to win the AFC East, +275 to win the AFC and +700 to win the Super Bowl. I see little resistance coming from the Titans defense in this spot. Translation: They hammer teams when they're expected to. They're 7-1 ATS as a favorite this season with a +20.6 margin of victory and a very comfortable +11.7 cover margin. Miami has excelled this season when expected to handle inferior competition. Dolphins -13.5 (-110) and Dolphins Team Total OVER 29.5 (-125) are two wagers I like. Do you expect the Titans to keep this one close or do you see Miami's explosive offense making this a runaway? How are you betting this game?įulghum: I fully expect Miami's explosive offense to literally run away with this one. What can we expect from a betting standpoint?īetting analysts Eric Moody, Seth Walder, Tyler Fulghum and Aaron Schatz are here to provide their thoughts. Week 14 of the 2023 NFL season wraps up Monday night with a pair of games as the Miami Dolphins host the Tennessee Titans and the New York Giants play the Green Bay Packers. Packers-Giants and Titans-Dolphins: NFL betting odds, picks, tips You have reached a degraded version of because you're using an unsupported version of Internet Explorer.įor a complete experience, please upgrade or use a supported browser
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